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404TN FILE 01 · NATIONAL PRESSURE DOSSIERS

File 01: Water · Longitudinal Record (2019–2026)

Water is a resource. Supply is a public service.

Drought, network loss and rationing require different evidence. Follow the water record from restrictions to infrastructure and measured supply.

Infrastructure and distributionLatest supported material · Summer 2026Latest comparable period · Summer 2026

What This File Documents

Drought, network loss and rationing require different evidence. Follow the water record from restrictions to infrastructure and measured supply.

EXPLICITLY IN SCOPE

Infrastructure and distribution. Documentary history, implementation and evidence limitations.

DELIBERATELY OUTSIDE SCOPE

A national reservoir reading does not identify the cause of an individual household interruption.

Current Overview

Latest supported material is Summer 2026. This is descriptive; it is not a comparison period or an evidence-through date. Latest comparable period: Summer 2026.

Latest comparable observations

FACTComparable observationSummer 2026

Desalination Eases Coastal Stress but Network Losses (~30%) and Interior Scarcity Persist

Desalination output relieved peak summer pressure in Sfax and Gabès urban centers, but national dam reserves remained at ~21-25% capacity in Summer 2026, and physical pipe network losses were estimated at ~30% nationally.

Read evidence · 2026-06-30

Latest verified developments

No separate verified development is represented.

No comparable observation for a later period is represented in this selected dossier.

Summer 2026 snapshot

This is the fixed historical snapshot of observations dated June through August 2026. Later periods and developments are presented separately.

FACTComparable observationSummer 2026

Desalination Eases Coastal Stress but Network Losses (~30%) and Interior Scarcity Persist

Desalination output relieved peak summer pressure in Sfax and Gabès urban centers, but national dam reserves remained at ~21-25% capacity in Summer 2026, and physical pipe network losses were estimated at ~30% nationally.

Read evidence · 2026-06-30

What the evidence shows

Latest comparable observations and verified developments

FACTSummer 20262026-06-30 · ISS-WATER-05

Desalination Eases Coastal Stress but Network Losses (~30%) and Interior Scarcity Persist

Desalination output relieved peak summer pressure in Sfax and Gabès urban centers, but national dam reserves remained at ~21-25% capacity in Summer 2026, and physical pipe network losses were estimated at ~30% nationally.

Causal attribution: CONTRIBUTING_FACTOR. Desalination directly provided new supply volumes; however, persistent drought is climate-driven and network leakages reflect multi-decade infrastructure under-investment.

ACC-07-N5 · ACC-07-N5-SOURCE-1 · ACC-07-N5-SOURCE-2 · ACC-07-N5-SOURCE-3

The 2019 baseline

2019 marks the beginning of Kais Saied’s presidency, not the beginning of these systems or their problems. Preserve the reference period when comparing outcomes.

DATA GAP · A comparable 2019 series is not established by the selected evidence.

Inherited conditions / dated context

2021 context Tunisia is classified under absolute water scarcity (<400 m³/capita/year). Prolonged drought from 2020 reduced national dam reservoir fill rates to under 30% by early 2023. ACC-CHAIN-07 · National Water Crisis, Quota-Based Rationing & Desalination Infrastructure

Context from another year is not relabelled as a 2019 measurement.

What changed, 2019–2026

Complete chronology of documented events

Evidence inventory review date: 13 September 2026; this is not an evidence-through date.

FACTHistorical Context2023-03-31 · ISS-WATER-01

Ministry of Agriculture Issues Decision No. 1303 Imposing Potable Water Quotas and Nightly Cuts

Ministerial Decision established emergency water rationing, prohibiting the use of potable water for agriculture, car washing, public green spaces, and mandating overnight water shutoffs (typically 21:00 to 05:00).

ACC-07-N1 · ACC-07-N1-SOURCE-1 · ACC-07-N1-SOURCE-2

FACTHistorical Context2023-09-30 · ISS-WATER-02

Indefinite Extension of Water Quotas and Rationing Regime

Due to continued deficit in dam inflows, the Ministry of Agriculture extended Decision 1303 indefinitely until further notice, keeping nighttime cuts operational nationwide.

ACC-07-N2 · ACC-07-N2-SOURCE-1 · ACC-07-N2-SOURCE-2

FACTHistorical Context2024-06-30 · ISS-WATER-03

Public Capital Financing for Seawater Desalination Plants (Zarat, Sfax, Sousse)

Mobilization of ~1.5B TND in public investments and concessional loans (JICA, KfW, AFD) to complete major desalination plants: Zarat (Gabès - 50,000 m³/day), Sfax (100,000 m³/day), and Sousse (50,000 m³/day).

amount
1500000000
currency
TND
status
DISBURSED

ACC-07-N3 · ACC-07-N3-SOURCE-1 · ACC-07-N3-SOURCE-2

FACTHistorical Context2024-07-10 · ISS-WATER-04

Commissioning of Zarat and Sfax Desalination Plants

Commercial operation commenced at the Zarat plant (July 2024) and the Sfax desalination plant (August 2024), adding 150,000 m³/day of non-conventional potable water to the southern and coastal networks.

ACC-07-N4 · ACC-07-N4-SOURCE-1 · ACC-07-N4-SOURCE-2

FACTSummer 20262026-06-30 · ISS-WATER-05

Desalination Eases Coastal Stress but Network Losses (~30%) and Interior Scarcity Persist

Desalination output relieved peak summer pressure in Sfax and Gabès urban centers, but national dam reserves remained at ~21-25% capacity in Summer 2026, and physical pipe network losses were estimated at ~30% nationally.

Causal attribution: CONTRIBUTING_FACTOR. Desalination directly provided new supply volumes; however, persistent drought is climate-driven and network leakages reflect multi-decade infrastructure under-investment.

ACC-07-N5 · ACC-07-N5-SOURCE-1 · ACC-07-N5-SOURCE-2 · ACC-07-N5-SOURCE-3

Trace the record

State Response & Known Outcomes

PROMISE → DECISION → ACTION → MONEY → RESULT → RESPONSIBILITY → EVIDENCE

Responsibility ≠ causation. Responsibility ≠ wrongdoing. Temporal sequence ≠ causal proof.

Who had institutional responsibility?

ACCOUNTABLE INSTITUTIONS

ACC-CHAIN-07

Ministry of Agriculture, Water Resources and Maritime Fisheries LEAD_AUTHORITY
Statutory jurisdiction over national water code, dam infrastructure, and irrigation restrictions.

Causal boundary: Ordered rationing quotas and national water allocation rules.

National Water Distribution Utility (SONEDE) IMPLEMENTING_AGENCY
Public utility charter for potable water treatment, pipe networks, and desalination operations.

Causal boundary: Executes overnight supply cuts and manages network repairs and plant operations.

Ministry of Finance FINANCING_SOURCE
Sovereign loan guarantees and budgetary subsidies for SONEDE capital projects.

Causal boundary: Secured external concessional loan packages (JICA/KfW).

Regional / territorial evidence

Zarat, Sfax and the coastal supply network

A national reservoir reading does not identify the cause of an individual household interruption.

Inspect the geospatial evidence register

Map clusters represent evidence density, not severity, danger or risk. An unrepresented region is a coverage gap, not evidence of absence.

What the evidence establishes

ESTABLISHED

  • Desalination output relieved peak summer pressure in Sfax and Gabès urban centers, but national dam reserves remained at ~21-25% capacity in Summer 2026, and physical pipe network losses were estimated at ~30% nationally. Evidence

NOT ESTABLISHED

A national reservoir reading does not identify the cause of an individual household interruption.

DATA GAP

SONEDE has not published an open, transparent delegation-level data registry detailing annual pipe replacement linear meters and physical versus commercial water loss percentages. Inventory record

Comparable 2019 reservoir, network-loss and interruption series are not linked in the selected archive. No delegation-level Summer 2026 interruption ledger is available here. Inventory record

Data gaps

DATA GAPDATA_GAP2026-06-30 · ISS-WATER-06

Governorate-by-Governorate Water Loss and Pipe Replacement Ledger Unpublished

SONEDE has not published an open, transparent delegation-level data registry detailing annual pipe replacement linear meters and physical versus commercial water loss percentages.

Aggregate national loss is quoted between 28% and 34%, but granular municipal network telemetry remains unavailable.

ACC-07-N6 · ACC-07-N6-SOURCE-1

DATA GAPDATA_GAP2026-09-13 · ISS-WATER-07

Limits of the selected evidence

Comparable 2019 reservoir, network-loss and interruption series are not linked in the selected archive. No delegation-level Summer 2026 interruption ledger is available here.

This is a bounded inventory gap, not a claim that no such data exists anywhere.

R3.1 inventory review · R3.1-INVENTORY

Evidence register

Canonical provenance is preserved. A named document without a direct URL is identified as such; it is not presented as newly retrieved or independently verified.

ACC-07-N1-SOURCE-1 · CANONICAL_DOCUMENT
JORT No. 32 - Decision No. 1303 2023-03-31 · Direct document URL not supplied in canonical record
ACC-07-N1-SOURCE-2 · CANONICAL_DOCUMENT
Ministry of Agriculture Press Communiqué 2023-03-31 · Direct document URL not supplied in canonical record
ACC-07-N2-SOURCE-1 · CANONICAL_DOCUMENT
Ministry of Agriculture Communiqué 2023-09-29 · Direct document URL not supplied in canonical record
ACC-07-N2-SOURCE-2 · CANONICAL_DOCUMENT
TAP News Agency 2023-09-30 · Direct document URL not supplied in canonical record
ACC-07-N3-SOURCE-1 · CANONICAL_DOCUMENT
SONEDE Annual Investment Reports 2024-06-30 · Direct document URL not supplied in canonical record
ACC-07-N3-SOURCE-2 · CANONICAL_DOCUMENT
JICA Project Briefs: Sfax Desalination 2024-07-15 · Direct document URL not supplied in canonical record
ACC-07-N4-SOURCE-1 · CANONICAL_DOCUMENT
Presidency Official Inauguration Coverage 2024-07-10 · Direct document URL not supplied in canonical record
ACC-07-N4-SOURCE-2 · CANONICAL_DOCUMENT
SONEDE Technical Directorate Communiqués 2024-08-01 · Direct document URL not supplied in canonical record
ACC-07-N5-SOURCE-1 · CANONICAL_DOCUMENT
ONAGRI National Hydraulic Bulletin 2026-08-15 · Direct document URL not supplied in canonical record
ACC-07-N5-SOURCE-2 · CANONICAL_DOCUMENT
SONEDE Performance Audits 2026-06-30 · Direct document URL not supplied in canonical record
ACC-07-N5-SOURCE-3 · CANONICAL_DOCUMENT
FTDES Water Observatory Reports 2026-07-15 · Direct document URL not supplied in canonical record
ACC-07-N6-SOURCE-1 · CANONICAL_DOCUMENT
404TN Infrastructure Audit 2026-09-01 · Direct document URL not supplied in canonical record
R3.1-INVENTORY · EDITORIAL_AUDIT
R3.1 selected repository evidence inventory 2026-09-13 · Direct document URL not supplied in canonical record