404TN FILE 02 · NATIONAL PRESSURE DOSSIERS
File 02: Electricity · Longitudinal Record (2019–2026)
Gas dependence, interconnection finance and electricity provision are separate parts of the energy record.
Gas dependence, interconnection finance and electricity provision are separate parts of the energy record.
Fuel, finance and implementation. Documentary history, implementation and evidence limitations.
The Algerian share concerns gas supply, not electricity imported directly from Algeria. Service satisfaction is not an engineering reliability measure.
Latest supported material is Autumn 2026. This is descriptive; it is not a comparison period or an evidence-through date. Latest comparable period: Summer 2026.
Algerian gas provides 60–70% of national gas supply; gas fuels ~95% of electricity
65% is share of gas supplied from Algeria; gas generates ~95% of total power.
Read evidence · 2026-08-31Official STEG regional notices announced possible rotating and intermittent electricity cuts across multiple districts, conditioned on network stability and the balance between power production and consumption, specifying that individual interruptions would not exceed two hours.
Recorded status: ANNOUNCED. Coordinated operational announcements across Greater Tunis, Northwest, Sfax, and Southern regions; conditioned on grid balance, not a nationwide blackout. Primary institutional source anchored at http://www.steg.com.tn (document-level URL unavailable / institutional provenance anchor).
Read evidence · 2026-09-01Newer material is represented in Autumn 2026; no comparable observation is represented for that period in this dossier.
This is the fixed historical snapshot of observations dated June through August 2026. Later periods and developments are presented separately.
Algerian gas provides 60–70% of national gas supply; gas fuels ~95% of electricity
65% is share of gas supplied from Algeria; gas generates ~95% of total power.
Read evidence · 2026-08-31Latest comparable observations and verified developments
Algerian gas provides 60–70% of national gas supply; gas fuels ~95% of electricity
65% is share of gas supplied from Algeria; gas generates ~95% of total power.
WLD-DZ-03 · WLD-DZ-03-SOURCE
Official STEG regional notices announced possible rotating and intermittent electricity cuts across multiple districts, conditioned on network stability and the balance between power production and consumption, specifying that individual interruptions would not exceed two hours.
Recorded status: ANNOUNCED. Coordinated operational announcements across Greater Tunis, Northwest, Sfax, and Southern regions; conditioned on grid balance, not a nationwide blackout. Primary institutional source anchored at http://www.steg.com.tn (document-level URL unavailable / institutional provenance anchor).
STEG-OPS-2026-09 · SRC-STEG-OPS2026
2019 marks the beginning of Kais Saied’s presidency, not the beginning of these systems or their problems. Preserve the reference period when comparing outcomes.
DATA GAP · A comparable 2019 series is not established by the selected evidence.
2021 context Tunisia generates ~97% of its electricity from natural gas (of which 65% is imported from or transited via Algeria through the Trans-Med pipeline). Renewable electricity generation remained below 3% of national energy mix. ACC-CHAIN-10 · ELMED Electrical Interconnection, Renewable Energy Transition & Gas Dependence
Context from another year is not relabelled as a 2019 measurement.
Complete chronology of documented events
Evidence inventory review date: 13 September 2026; this is not an evidence-through date.
Itemized public accounts detailing preferential gas and electricity tariff subsidies allocated to heavy industrial consumers and outstanding unpaid billing arrears by state entities are not published in open disaggregated format.
Recorded status: NOT_PUBLISHED.
ROP-GAP-2026-ENERGY-SUBSIDY · SRC-ONME-DEF2026
The European Commission formally allocated a €307.6 million grant from the Connecting Europe Facility (CEF-Energy) to co-finance the 600 MW, 200 km submarine high-voltage direct current (HVDC) cable connecting Kelibia (Tunisia) to Partanna (Sicily).
ACC-10-N1 · ACC-10-N1-SOURCE-1 · ACC-10-N1-SOURCE-2
Subsea cable engineering and converter station tenders in active execution
Total project ~€850M co-financed with World Bank ($268.4M), KfW, EIB.
WLD-EU-05 · WLD-EU-05-SOURCE
The World Bank Board of Directors approved a $268.4 million loan to the Republic of Tunisia for the Tunisia-Italy Interconnector Project (ELMED), financing the HVDC converter station and grid reinforcement.
ACC-10-N2 · ACC-10-N2-SOURCE-1
Approved by World Bank Board under CPF 2023–2027; active engineering procurement
Subsea HVDC converter station co-financing Cap Bon–Sicily.
WLD-WB-01 · WLD-WB-01-SOURCE
65% — Satisfied / Very satisfied (Utility service rating). % of Adult Population (Ages 18+).
Arab Barometer Wave VIII; fieldwork 2023-09-13 to 2023-11-04; n=2406; Face-to-face (CAPI); margin ±2.5%; All Adults (18+). Disambiguation: 65% measures electricity provision satisfaction, NOT police institutional trust.
TRST-16-SRV-ELECTRICITY-W8 · SRC-AB-W8-2024
The Ministry of Economy and STEG finalized concessional loan agreements with the European Investment Bank (€45M), KfW (€35M), and EBRD, bringing total committed financing for ELMED to ~€850 million.
ACC-10-N3 · ACC-10-N3-SOURCE-1 · ACC-10-N3-SOURCE-2
STEG and Italian grid operator Terna issued international engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) tenders for the subsea cable laying and the converter stations in Kelibia and Partanna (target commissioning: 2028).
ACC-10-N4 · ACC-10-N4-SOURCE-1 · ACC-10-N4-SOURCE-2
Algerian gas provides 60–70% of national gas supply; gas fuels ~95% of electricity
65% is share of gas supplied from Algeria; gas generates ~95% of total power.
WLD-DZ-03 · WLD-DZ-03-SOURCE
Official STEG regional notices announced possible rotating and intermittent electricity cuts across multiple districts, conditioned on network stability and the balance between power production and consumption, specifying that individual interruptions would not exceed two hours.
Recorded status: ANNOUNCED. Coordinated operational announcements across Greater Tunis, Northwest, Sfax, and Southern regions; conditioned on grid balance, not a nationwide blackout. Primary institutional source anchored at http://www.steg.com.tn (document-level URL unavailable / institutional provenance anchor).
STEG-OPS-2026-09 · SRC-STEG-OPS2026
State Response & Known Outcomes
PROMISE → DECISION → ACTION → MONEY → RESULT → RESPONSIBILITY → EVIDENCE
What financing was mobilized for the €850M ELMED Tunisia–Italy submarine cable, what progress was achieved on renewable generation, and what is Tunisia's continued structural dependence on Algerian gas?
Open the canonical investigation for its complete sequence, financing status, measured outcomes and causal boundaries.
Responsibility ≠ causation. Responsibility ≠ wrongdoing. Temporal sequence ≠ causal proof.
ACCOUNTABLE INSTITUTIONS
Causal boundary: Manages technical procurement, grid stability, and thermal power generation.
Causal boundary: Provides sovereign loan backing and covers annual fuel deficit subsidies.
Causal boundary: Provided €307.6M direct grant co-financing for European interconnector status.
The Algerian share concerns gas supply, not electricity imported directly from Algeria. Service satisfaction is not an engineering reliability measure.
Detailed financial settlements of in-kind royalty gas volumes from the Enrico Mattei (Trans-Med) pipeline and STEG's commercial cross-debt balances with Sonatrach are not fully published in open budget annexes. Inventory record
No comparable 2019–2026 outage-duration, tariff or grid-reliability series is linked in this dossier. Financing does not establish commissioned capacity. Inventory record
Detailed financial settlements of in-kind royalty gas volumes from the Enrico Mattei (Trans-Med) pipeline and STEG's commercial cross-debt balances with Sonatrach are not fully published in open budget annexes.
Gas subsidy line items are aggregated without transparent unit cost and import price formula disclosures.
ACC-10-N6 · ACC-10-N6-SOURCE-1
No comparable 2019–2026 outage-duration, tariff or grid-reliability series is linked in this dossier. Financing does not establish commissioned capacity.
This is a bounded inventory gap, not a claim that no such data exists anywhere.
R3.1 inventory review · R3.1-INVENTORY
Canonical provenance is preserved. A named document without a direct URL is identified as such; it is not presented as newly retrieved or independently verified.
